Saturday, November 30, 2013

Are We Headed For A 1929 Crash?

Our toppy market could be headed for a big correction, if technical analysis is any guide.

That’s the conclusion of the McClellan Market Report newsletter chart, above, published Wednesday. It shows the rising performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since July 7, 2012 through today, in red. The black line above it is the Dow during 1928 and into 1929.

The prediction: the market could peak in mid-January, and lose all of its 2013 gains by the end of March 2014.

The Dow is up 40.62 points or 0.25% today to 16137.95. On Wednesday, at 16097.33, the DJIA hit a new record high, which represented the 44th record close this year.

Of course, the 1929 comparison has its problems. In the 1920s, the Federal Reserve raised the discount rate as high as 5%. Moreover, the New York Stock Exchange in that era was open six days per week. Thus, there were 43 more trading days in 1928 than in 2012.

McClellan Market Report Editor Tom McClellan warns that “expectations of precision are just not warranted” and no one should assume “the equivalent of the Sep. 3, 1929 top is ideally due Jan. 14, 2014.”

However, he writes the approximate Jan. 14 market-peak date “is all the more interesting” in light of work by another newsletter writer, and another author — of a book on George Lindsay’s market analysis. These two also expect some kind of January peak. One, based on Fibonacci cycle expansion analysis, and the other based on counting the number of days forward from important market dates, and identifying “a basic advance” — sometimes not the lowest low.

Hot Tech Stocks To Own Right Now

For more on the “1929 Analog” from McClellan, click here.  

Wednesday’s top DJIA laggard stocks were higher, up less than a point, headed into the early 1 p.m. close today. McDonald’s (MCD), Disney (DIS), Chevron (CVX) Procter & Gamble (PG) were up, though ExxonMobil (XOM) shares were flat headed into the close. 

Among the largest components of the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average exchange-traded fund (DIA), Visa (V) and International Business Machines (IBM) are slighlty higher today, while Goldman Sachs (GS) shares rose nearly a point.

Friday, November 29, 2013

Walmart’s “$10 Or Less” Item Black Friday Sale

If discounts are the stuff of Black Friday’s allure, then Walmart (NYSE: WMT) has set enough products which sell for $10 or less to draw nearly every shopper. In the process, it is likely to pull foot and online traffic away from competitors, which Walmart can do uniquely because of its size and balance sheet. Product which are “loss leaders” (in other word’s, ones on which Walmart does not break even) are considered magnets. People come for the low prices, and leave with other items on which the world’s largest retailer makes money. Almost no one goes online or t0 a store to buy just one thing.

Walmart’s under $10 items cover products from a wide array of its departments:

For children, Walmart sells the “Hello Kitty Friendship Bracelet Maker Kit” for $8.24.  The “Crayola Color Wonder Paint Pallette” costs $9.97, but only online. Among the clothing for children, the “Baby Girls’ Hello Kitty 2 Piece Short Sleeve Pajama Set” for $8 and the “White Stag Knit Sleep Tee & Capri 2-Piece Set” for $7–each too inexpensive to imagine.

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Consumer electronics products are usually considered among the most expensive items Walmart sells. Not so. “Ematic 7″ Tablet Accessory Kit w/ Bonus 8GB micro SD Card” sells for $9 online. That assumes people have a tablet, which limits the appeal somewhat. “The Vizio XCH006 High-Speed HDMI Cable, 6′” has much broader appeal. All one needs is a properly configured TV, many of which can be bought from Walmart as inexpensively as $200 or as expensively as over $1,000. In the cyber-aisle, Walmart also sells a “4GB MicroSD Mobile Memory Card” for $4.21, which means it is three times as expensive to ship as to buy.

And, there is no reason the head of the family should go without. Tops on the list of gifts–the “Cold Front Men’s Trapper Hat with Faux Fur” for $8. The one trimmed with real fur costs more. And, for the father who has everything, the ”Cold Front MEN’S HINGED 3 IN 1 BALACLAVA WITH FRONT PANEL BRUSHED FLEECE – MOISTURE WICKING AND UV 30 PROTECTION” at only $9. In colder climates, it can be worn all year round.

Happy holiday from Walmart, which offers items which cost less than the price of the gas to drive to its stores.

Thursday, November 28, 2013

Hot Oil Stocks For 2014

U.S. crude oil supplies fell 300,000 barrels (0.08%)�for the week ending May 17, according to an Energy Information Administration (EIA) report (link opens in PDF) released today.

After dropping 600,000 barrels the previous week, weaker domestic production�proved enough to offset a 507,000 barrel per day (bpd) increase in imports.

While inventories continued to drop for the second straight week, supplies remained 1.1% above the same time last year, and are "well above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year," according to the EIA.

Source: eia.gov.

While oil inventories headed down, total motor gasoline supplies increased by 3 million barrels last week and are "near the upper limit of the average range." Gasoline demand's four-week moving average remains weak, 3.3% below the same period last year.

Despite weaker demand, pump prices headed higher to a national average of $3.673 per gallon on May 20. That's $0.07 per gallon more than the previous week, but $0.042 less than May 20, 2012.

Hot Oil Stocks For 2014: Occidental Petroleum Corporation(OXY)

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company primarily in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Oil and Gas; Chemical; and Midstream, Marketing, and Other. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids, and condensate and natural gas. Its domestic oil and gas operations are located in Texas, New Mexico, California, Kansas, Oklahoma, Utah, Colorado, North Dakota, and West Virginia; and international oil and gas operations are located in Bahrain, Bolivia, Colombia, Iraq, Libya, Oman, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. As of December 31, 2010, this segment had proved reserves of approximately 3,363 million barrels of oil equivalent. The Chemical segment manufactures and markets basic chemicals, including chlorine, caustic soda, chlorinated organics, potassium chemicals, and ethylene dichloride products; vinyls, such as vinyl chloride monomer and polyvinyl chloride; and other chemicals comprising chlorinated isocyanurates, resorcinol, sodium silicates, and calcium chloride products. The Midstream, Marketing, and Other segment gathers, treats, processes, transports, stores, purchases, and markets crude oil that includes natural gas liquids and condensate, as well as natural gas and carbon dioxide. This segment also involves in the power generation; and trades around its assets comprising pipelines and storage capacity, as well as oil and gas, other commodities, and commodity-related securities. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is based in Los Angeles, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    But Kinder Morgan also needs to demonstrate its ability to keep its organic growth going. In the first quarter, the company's terminals business only managed to report flat growth, leaving it well off track to meet Kinder Morgan's 12% growth goal for the segment. Also, its carbon dioxide business only saw 1% growth in the quarter, despite producers Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY  ) and Denbury Resources (NYSE: DNR  ) having used CO2 as part of their tertiary recovery methods to get additional oil from largely depleted oil fields in the Permian Basin and on the Gulf Coast.

Hot Oil Stocks For 2014: Archer Ltd (ARCHER.OL)

Archer Ltd, formerly Seawell Limited is a Bermuda-based global oilfield service company. The Company provides drilling services, such as platform drilling, land drilling, modular rings, directional drilling, drill bits, tubular services, drilling and completion fluids, cementing tools, plugs and packers, underbalanced services, rentals and engineering. It specialises also in well services, such as wireline intervention, specialist intervention, frac valves, wireline logging, integrity diagnostics, imaging, production monitoring, coiled tubing, completion services and fishing. As of January 3, 2012, the Company's organizational structure centered on four geographic and strategic areas: North America (NAM), North Sea (NRS), Latin America (LAM) and Emerging Markets & Technologies (EMT). As of December 31, 2010, it was active through a number of subsidiaries, namely Seawell, Allis-Chalmers Energy, Gray Wireline, Rig Inspection Services and TecWel, among others.

Top 10 Penny Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Mcdermott International Inc (MDR)

McDermott International, Inc. (MII),incorporated on August 11, 1959, is a engineering, procurement, construction and installation (EPCI) company. The Company is focused on designing and executing complex offshore oil and gas projects worldwide.

The Company provides fully integrated EPCI services; it delivers fixed and floating production facilities, pipeline installations and subsea systems from concept to commissioning. Its business segments consist of Asia Pacific, Atlantic, Caspian and the Middle East. On March 19, 2012, the Company completed the sale of its former charter fleet business, which operated 10 of the 14 vessels.

Asia Pacific Segment

Through the Company�� Asia Pacific segment, it serves the needs of customers primarily in Australia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia and Thailand. Project focus in this segment includes the fabrication and installation of fixed and floating structures and the installation of pipelines and subsea systems. The majority of its projects in this segment are performed on an EPCI basis. Engineering and procurement services are provided by its Singapore office and are supported by additional resources located in Chennai, India and Houston, Texas. The primary fabrication facility for this segment is located on Batam Island, Indonesia. Additionally, through its equity ownership interest in a joint venture, the Company has developed a fabrication facility located in China.

The Company competes with Allseas Marine Contractors S.A.; Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co., Ltd.; EMAS Offshore Pte Ltd.; Heerema Group; Hyundai Heavy Industrial Co., Ltd.; Nippon Steel Corporation; Saipem S.P.A.; Samsung Heavy Industries Co., Ltd.; Sapura Kencana Petroleum; Subsea 7 S.A.; Swiber Holdings Ltd., and Technip S.A.

Atlantic Segment

Through the Company�� Atlantic segment, it serves the needs of customers primarily in the United States, Brazil, Mexico, Trinidad and West Africa. Project focus in this s! egment includes the fabrication and installation of fixed and floating structures and the installation of pipelines and subsea systems. Engineering and procurement services are provided by its Houston office, and its New Orleans office provides marine engineering capabilities to support its global marine activities. The primary fabrication facilities for this segment are located in Morgan City, Louisiana and Altamira, Mexico.

The Company competes with Allseas Marine Contractors S.A.; Dragados Offshore Mexico, S.A.; Gulf Island Fabrication Inc.; Heerema Group; Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.; KBR, Inc.; Kiewit Corporation; Saipem S.P.A.; Subsea 7 S.A., and Technip S.A.

Middle East Segment

Through the Company�� Middle East segment, which includes the Caspian region, it serves the needs of customers primarily in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates (U.A.E.), Kuwait, India, Azerbaijan, Russia, and the North Sea. Project focus in this segment relates primarily to the fabrication and offshore installation of fixed and floating structures and the installation of pipelines and subsea systems. The majority of its projects in this segment are performed on an EPCI basis. Engineering and procurement services are provided by its Dubai, U.A.E., Chennai, India and Al Khobar, Saudi Arabia offices and are supported by additional resources from its Houston and Baku, Azerbaijan offices. The primary fabrication facility for this segment is located in Dubai, U.A.E.

The fabrication facilities in each segment are equipped with a variety of heavy-duty construction and fabrication equipment, including cranes, welding equipment, machine tools and robotic and other automated equipment. Project installation is performed by construction vessels, which the Company owns or leases and are stationed throughout the various regions and provide structural lifting/lowering and pipelay services. These construction vessels are supported by its multi-function vessels and chart! ered vess! els from third parties to perform a wide array of installation activities that include anchor handling, pipelay, cable/umbilical lay, dive support and hookup/commissioning.

The Company competes with Hyundai Heavy Industrial Co. Ltd.; Keppel Corporation; Larsen and Toubro Ltd (India); National Petroleum Construction Company (Abu Dhabi); Saipem S.P.A.; Technip S.A.; and Valentine and Swiber Holdings Ltd.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Nicole Seghetti]

    Texas-based industrial company McDermott International (NYSE: MDR  ) provides construction services to the offshore oil and gas industry. Shares of McDermott plunged in early March, when the company missed analysts' earnings estimates. Project delays and higher costs continue to hamper profitability. Fisher probably sold because of McDermott's weak outlook for 2013.

  • [By Brian Pacampara]

    Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, engineering and construction company McDermott International (NYSE: MDR  ) has earned a coveted five-star ranking.

  • [By CRWE]

    McDermott International, Inc. (NYSE:MDR) reported that one of its subsidiaries has been awarded a fabrication contract for components of a deepwater platform in the Gulf of Mexico, by Heerema Marine Contractors Nederland BV.

  • [By Roberto Pedone]

    One under-$10 engineering player that's trending very close to triggering a big breakout trade is McDermott International (MDR), an engineering, procurement, construction and installation company engaged on designing and executing complex offshore oil and gas projects. This stock has been hit hard by the bears so far in 2013, with shares off by 31%.

    If you take a look at the chart for MDR, you'll notice that this stock recently gapped down sharply from close to $9 a share to its recent low of $6.68 a share with heavy downside volume. Following that move, shares of MDR have started to rebound off that $6.68 low, and the stock is now starting to move within range of triggering a major breakout trade.

    Traders should now look for long-biased trades in MDR if it manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance at $7.74 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above that level with volume that hits near or above its three-month average action of 4.33 million shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then MDR will set up to re-fill some of its previous gap down zone from August that started near $9 a share. If MDR gets into that gap with volume, then this stock could easily hit $9 to $10 a share.

    Traders can look to buy MDR off weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits right below some near-term support levels at $7.04 o around its recent low of $6.68 a share. One can also buy MDR off strength once it takes out $7.74 a share with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

Hot Oil Stocks For 2014: Archer Ltd (ARCHER)

Archer Ltd, formerly Seawell Limited is a Bermuda-based global oilfield service company. The Company provides drilling services, such as platform drilling, land drilling, modular rings, directional drilling, drill bits, tubular services, drilling and completion fluids, cementing tools, plugs and packers, underbalanced services, rentals and engineering. It specialises also in well services, such as wireline intervention, specialist intervention, frac valves, wireline logging, integrity diagnostics, imaging, production monitoring, coiled tubing, completion services and fishing. As of January 3, 2012, the Company's organizational structure centered on four geographic and strategic areas: North America (NAM), North Sea (NRS), Latin America (LAM) and Emerging Markets & Technologies (EMT). As of December 31, 2010, it was active through a number of subsidiaries, namely Seawell, Allis-Chalmers Energy, Gray Wireline, Rig Inspection Services and TecWel, among others.

Hot Oil Stocks For 2014: Freedom Energy Holdings Inc (FDMF)

Freedom Energy Holdings, Inc. (FDMF), incorporated in June 2005, is a holding company with a focus on the identification of opportunities within the oil and energy sectors. KC-9000 is the Company�� heavy oil technology, to assist in the recovery of heavy oil. As of December 31, 2011, the Company research had developed and shown a new product SR-139 at breaking down asphalt shingles allowing the extraction and recovery of hydrocarbons.

KC-9000 is a micro-emulsion technology. KC 9000 is a micro-emulsion developed to assist in the recovery and extraction of heavy based hydrocarbons that are saturated with high metals and paraffin content. KC 9000 is used for tank cleaning processes. By injecting KC 9000 directly into the tank port holes, at the tank bottom, with the emulsifies turning into an easily extractable slurry.

Hot Oil Stocks For 2014: Frank s International NV (FI)

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Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Namitha Jagadeesh]

    Herro�� fund has beaten 96 percent of its peers in the last five years, data compiled by Bloomberg show. He owns shares in Daimler AG (DAI), the Stuttgart, Germany-based maker of luxury cars, and Fiat Industrial SpA (FI), the maker of commercial and agriculture vehicles spun off from Fiat SpA in 2011.

  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    Frank’s International�(FI) has gotten a boost this morning after UBS started coverage of the oil-equipment company’s stock as a Buy. Analyst Angie Sedita�lists the four reasons why she calls the company a “hidden gem:”

    Bloomberg

    (1) Strong company operations – technical strengths, strong execution, above�average margins.
    (2) Highly attractive geographic exposure – 74% of revenues are driven by the offshore markets (US and international) and 45% from international activity.
    (3) Visible growth profile ��offshore and international markets offers the�highest growth opportunities in the market (ultra-deepwater fleet expected to grow 40% by 2016).
    (4) Financial strength ��almost no debt, solid FCF yield (3%) and dividend (1.5% yield).

    Sedita says the stock could rise to $33, 14% from its last price of $29.06.

    Frank’s has gained 3.4% today, while Weatherford (WFT) has gained 0.9% after a Wells Fargo upgrade.�Tesco�(TESO) has dropped 0.2% to $16.52,�Baker Hughes�(BHI) has fallen 0.6% to $49.98 and�National-Oilwell�(NVO) is off 0.5% at $78.48.

  • [By gurujx]

    Frank's International NV (FI) Reached the 3-year Low of $24.12

    The prices of Frank's International NV (FI) shares have declined to close to the 3-year low of $24.12, which is 29.4% off the 3-year high of $32.70.

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Top 10 Heal Care Stocks To Buy Right Now

The settlement involves three drugs, including Risperdal, used to treat schizophrenia.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) Johnson & Johnson will pay $2.2 billion to settle charges that the company marketed drugs for unapproved uses and paid "kickbacks" to doctors and nursing homes.

The penalties announced Monday involve fines and forfeiture to the federal government and several states. The settlement involves the schizophrenia drugs Risperdal and Invega, and the heart failure drug Natrecor, the company and Attorney General Eric Holder said.

Johnson & Johnson and two subsidiaries "lined their pockets at the expense of American taxpayers, patients and the private insurance industry," Holder said.

The penalty amounts to one of the country's largest health care-related settlements, the Justice Department said.

Top 10 Heal Care Stocks To Buy Right Now: SuperValu Inc.(SVU)

SUPERVALU INC., together with its subsidiaries, operates retail food stores in the United States. Its stores offer grocery, general merchandise, health and beauty care, pharmacy, and fuel products. The company operates stores under the Acme, Albertsons, Cub Foods, Farm Fresh, Hornbacher?s, Jewel-Osco, Lucky, Shaw?s, Shop ?n Save, Shoppers Food & Pharmacy, and Star Market banners, as well as in-store pharmacies under the Osco and Sav-on banners. It operates approximately 2,394 traditional and hard-discount retail food stores, including 899 licensed Save-A-Lot stores. The company also offers supply chain services, which include wholesale distribution of products to independent retailers, including single and multiple grocery store independent operators, regional and national chains, mass merchants, and the military customers, as well as provides logistics support services. SUPERVALU was founded in 1871 and is based in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    SUPERVALU (NYSE: SVU  ) will release its quarterly report on Thursday, and investors are increasingly optimistic that the grocery-store chain has finally turned the corner, and is poised for a rebound. Although the company is much smaller after having divested itself of several of its biggest chains, SUPERVALU nevertheless has the potential to remain profitable.

  • [By Rich Duprey]

    Supermarket chain SUPERVALU (NYSE: SVU  ) lost 40% annually between 2007 and 2012 while Safeway (NYSE: SWY  ) lost 10% annually. Kroger (NYSE: KR  ) , which recognized the value of private-label branding early on, achieved 4% growth.

Top 10 Heal Care Stocks To Buy Right Now: NCI Building Systems Inc. (NCS)

NCI Building Systems, Inc. engages in the manufacture and marketing of metal products primarily for the nonresidential construction industry in North America. The company�s Metal Coil Coating segment involved in cleaning, treating, and painting various flat rolled metal coil materials, as well as in slitting and/or embossing the metal, before the steel is fabricated for use by various construction and industrial users. It also cleans, treats, and coats hot-rolled and light gauge metal coils for third parties for various applications, such as construction products, heating and air conditioning systems, water heaters, lighting fixtures, ceiling grids, office furniture, appliances, and other products; and provides toll coating services and painted metal package. This segment serves manufacturers of engineered building systems and metal components, as well as steel mills, metal service centers, and painted coil distributors. NCI Building Systems, Inc.�s Metal Components segm ent designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets metal components, including metal roof and wall systems, metal partitions, metal trims, doors, and other related accessories for construction, repair and retrofit, architectural, and engineered building system applications. It sells metal components directly to regional manufacturers, contractors, subcontractors, distributors, lumberyards, co-operative buying groups, and other customers. This segment also manufactures roll-up doors; and sells interior and exterior walk doors for use in self storage industry, and metal and other buildings. The company�s Engineered Building Systems segment offers engineered building systems and self-storage building systems for commercial, industrial, agricultural, governmental, and community markets. This segment sells its products to builders, general contractors, developers, private label companies, and end users through an in-house sales force. The company was founded in 1984 and is headqu artered in Houston, Texas.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    NCI Building Systems (NCS) has dropped 17% to $10.00 after the close after reporting a loss 19 cents, far worse than analyst forecasts for a 3 cent loss.

5 Best Clean Energy Stocks To Own Right Now: X-Rite Incorporated(XRIT)

X-Rite, Incorporated develops, manufactures, markets, and supports color solutions through measurement instrumentation systems, software, color standards, and services in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. Its measurement instrumentation systems include colorimeters utilized to measure printed colors on packages, labels, textiles, and other materials; spectrophotometers, which measure light at various points over the visible spectrum; densitometers that are instruments that measure optical or photographic density, compare such measurement to a reference standard, and signal the result to the operator of the instrument; spectrodensitometers, which combine the function of a densitometer with the functions of a colorimeter and a spectrophotometer; and sensitometers that are used to expose various types of photographic film for comparing with a reference standard. The company also provides software and databases that allow the users to collect and store color mea surement data, compare that data to established standards and databases, communicate color results, and formulate colors from a database. In addition, it offers standards product line comprising products for the communication and reproduction of color digitally or in print for establishing color standardization; and support services that provide customers, an access to color professional specialists, training, and technical support through color seminars, classroom workshops, on-site consulting, and interactive media development, as well as service repair operations. Further, the company provides retail paint matching systems for home centers, mass merchants, hardware stores, and paint retailers. It serves printing, packaging, photography, graphic design, video, automotive, paints, plastics, textiles, and dental and medical markets through sales personnel, independent sales representatives, and dealers. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Grand Rapids, Mi chigan.

Top 10 Heal Care Stocks To Buy Right Now: Quest Pharmatech Inc. (QPT.V)

Quest PharmaTech Inc. engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of pharmaceutical products for the treatment of cancer and dermatological conditions based on its SonoLight technology platform. The company�s development products include oregovomab that completed Phase I and Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of ovarian cancer; SL017, which is in Phase II clinical trial for dermatology applications; SL052 that is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of prostate cancer; and Anti-MUC1, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of prostate cancer. It has strategic partnerships with IntelligentNano to develop water-soluble nanoformulations of SL052 and SL017; and Alberta Research Council to develop fermentation based technology to manufacture Hypocrellin B. The company was formerly known as Altachem Pharma Ltd. and changed its name to Quest PharmaTech Inc. in September 2005. Quest PharmaTech is headquartered in Edmonton, Canada.

Top 10 Heal Care Stocks To Buy Right Now: CME Group Inc.(CME)

CME Group Inc. operates the CME, CBOT, NYMEX, and COMEX regulatory exchanges worldwide. The company provides a range of products available across various asset classes, including futures and options on interest rates, equity indexes, energy, agricultural commodities, metals, foreign exchange, weather, and real estate. It offers various products that provide a means of hedging, speculation, and asset allocation relating to the risks associated with interest rate sensitive instruments, equity ownership, changes in the value of foreign currency, credit risk, and changes in the prices of commodities. CME Group owns and operates clearing house, CME Clearing, which provides clearing and settlement services for exchange-traded contracts and counter derivatives transactions; and also engages in real estate operations. Its primary trade execution facilities consist of its CME Globex electronic trading platform and open outcry trading floors, as well as privately negotiated transact ions that are cleared and settled through its clearing house. In addition, the company offers market data services comprising live quotes, delayed quotes, market reports, and historical data services, as well as involves in index services business. CME Group?s customer base includes professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, and governments. It has strategic partnerships with BM&FBOVESPA S.A., Bursa Malaysia Derivatives, Singapore Exchange Limited, Green Exchange, Dubai Mercantile Exchange, Johannesburg Stock Exchange, and Bolsa Mexicana de Valores, S.A.B. de C.V., as well as joint venture agreement with Dow Jones & Company. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. CME Group was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Laura Brodbeck]

    Monday

    Earnings Releases Expected: Black Hills Corporation (NYSE: BKH), CME Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CME), Leapfrog Enterprises (NYSE: LF), Hill International, Inc. (NYSE: HIL) Economic Releases Expected: eurozone manufacturing PMI, British construction PMI, US factory orders, Chinese services PMI, Indian services PMI

    Tuesday

  • [By Holly LaFon]

    We re-established an investment in CME Group, Inc. (CME) during the period. CME is the largest and most diversified derivatives marketplace in the U.S. Its exchanges support trading across a variety of asset classes, including interest rates, equity indexes, energy, agricultural commodities, foreign exchange and metals. We believe CME has the opportunity to significantly accelerate its growth rates due to the eventual normalization of interest rates and the attendant interest rate volatility. CME's interest rate trading volumes (ADV) have been depressed as a result of the Fed's zero interest rate policy and low interest rate volatility. For example, interest rate ADV was 4.8 million in 2012compared to 7.1 million in 2007, before the financial crisis. However, given the Fed's recent policy statements (discussed above), market participants are starting to anticipate an end to quantitative easing (QE). On May 30, CME experienced record volume for interest rate derivatives with ADV of 19.4 million. With the globalization of CME's business, a host of new products, and the regulatory requirement for interest rate swaps to be cleared on an exchange, we believe CME's interest rate volumes can surpass their prior peak, significantly driving earnings growth for the company.

  • [By Matthew Leising]

    The study, commissioned by CME Group Inc. (CME), the Futures Industry Association, the Institute for Financial Markets and the National Futures Association, surveyed private insurance companies to gauge their interest in providing protection to customers if their futures broker goes bankrupt, according to a statement released today.

Top 10 Heal Care Stocks To Buy Right Now: Eratat Lifestyle Limited (FO8.SI)

Eratat Lifestyle Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and distribution of lifestyle fashion footwear; and design and distribution of lifestyle fashion apparel in the People�s Republic of China. The company offers its products under the ERATAT name. It also produces shoe materials, sports shoes, travel shoes, soles, and fabric bags, as well as manufactures various kinds of computer embroidery and dresses. Eratat Lifestyle Limited markets its products to specialty stores or shop-in-shops through its distributors and retailers. In addition, the company produces footwear products under the third party brands for sale to its export distributors. The company was formerly known as China Eratat Sports Fashion Limited and changed its name to Eratat Lifestyle Limited in July 2010. Eratat Lifestyle Limited was founded in 1983 and is based in Jinjiang City, the People�s Republic of China.

Top 10 Heal Care Stocks To Buy Right Now: Applied Micro Circuits Corporation(AMCC)

Applied Micro Circuits Corporation, a semiconductor company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, sells, and supports integrated circuits for processing, transporting, and storing information. It offers physical layer products, which transmit and receive signals in a high-speed serial format, and convert high-speed serial formats to low-speed parallel formats and vice versa; framer and mapper products that transmit and receive signals to and from the physical layer in a parallel format are used in high-speed optical network infrastructure equipment; and embedded processor products for wireless infrastructure, wireless LAN, residential, datacenters, and enterprises. The company also offers packet processor ICs, which receive and transmit signals to and from the framing layer and perform the processing of packet and cell headers; and cell switching products that include packet routing switch fabric devices and queuing managers; and printed circuit boar d assemblies to OEMs. Its products are used in wireline and wireless communications equipment, such as wireless access points, wireless base stations, multi-function printers, enterprise and edge switches, blade servers, storage systems, gateways, core switches, routers, network attached storage, and transport platforms. The company offers its solutions for the enterprise, telecom, and consumer/small medium business markets primarily in the United States, Taiwan, Hong Kong, China, Europe, and other Asian countries. Applied Micro Circuits Corporation was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Applied Micro Circuits (NASDAQ: AMCC) named Douglas T. Ahrens as its Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Applied Micro shares declined 2.40% to close at $12.63 yesterday.

  • [By Lee Jackson]

    Applied Micro Circuits Corp. (NASDAQ: AMCC) also has a high single digit exposure to Cisco Systems. Applied Micro�� product portfolio and continued efforts to provide maximum consumer satisfaction have augmented its market position. The integrated offload engines and advanced PacketPro architecture offer quality service and security and performance to its customers. The consensus price target for the stock stands at $13.

Top 10 Heal Care Stocks To Buy Right Now: Cna Group Ltd. (5GC.SI)

CNA Group Ltd. engages in the design, implementation, and maintenance of green information communication technology (ICT) for integrated building and facility management. The company offers ICT products, including ELV systems, intelligent building management systems, and energy management systems that are installed to automate, control, and manage virtually every facility in buildings or industrial plants; and provides various services, such as master system integration, project management, engineering design, software development, programming, supply and installation, testing and commissioning, and maintenance support. It also offers infrastructural, mechanical, electrical, and plumbing services for airports, rail transport, healthcare, industrial, educational, commercial, and residential developments. The company�s infrastructural services include designing and constructing roads, drainages, sewage networks, water supply networks, electrical power distribution networks, street lighting, telecommunication and data networks, landscapes, and signages. In addition, it is involved in design and implementation of control and automation solutions in airports, prison complexes, water treatment facilities, and commercial buildings, as well as offers indoor air quality solution products, such as filtration systems and germicidal UVC emitters that are used in hospitals and offices. The company primarily operates in Singapore, the People�s Republic of China, the Middle East, Vietnam, the Philippines, Thailand, Malaysia, India, and Australia. CNA Group Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Singapore.

Top 10 Heal Care Stocks To Buy Right Now: Tanzanian Royalty Com Npv (TNX.TO)

Tanzanian Royalty Exploration Corporation, a mineral resource company, engages in the acquisition and exploration of natural resource properties. The company primarily explores for gold or other precious metals. It holds a 55% interest in the Buckreef project located in Tanzania. The company was formerly known as Tan Range Exploration Corporation and changed its name to Tanzanian Royalty Exploration Corporation in February 2006. Tanzanian Royalty Exploration Corporation was founded in 1990 and is based in South Surrey, Canada.

Top 10 Heal Care Stocks To Buy Right Now: Alumasc Grp(ALU.L)

The Alumasc Group plc engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of products for the building and construction industries; and the manufacture of engineering products and components for original equipment manufacturers in the United Kingdom and internationally. Its building products include energy management products, such as solar shading, green roofing, waterproofing, and exterior wall insulation products, as well as roofing services support systems; water management products, including external line drainage systems, engineered access covers, rainwater and rainwater harvesting systems, house building products, interior casing systems, and scaffolding products; and roof, shower, and floor drainage systems. The company also supplies precision engineered, and machined aluminum and zinc die cast components to international original equipment manufacturers operating primarily in the off-highway diesel, automotive, and industrial sectors. The Alumasc Group Plc was foun ded in 1984 and is headquartered in Kettering, the United Kingdom.

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

What to Do During Medicare Open Enrollment

Social Security card and Medicare enrollment form; Shutterstock ID 115761634; PO: DF-112612-gallery bill; billing; card; claim;Shutterstock A. You will automatically keep your Part D coverage if you don't make any changes to it during open enrollment, which runs from Oct. 15 to Dec. 7 for 2014 plans. But it's a good idea to shop around again for Medicare Part D prescription-drug plans and all-in-one Medicare Advantage plans, especially if your health or medications have changed. Even if your premiums haven't risen much, your out-of-pocket costs could change significantly. Many Part D plans have increased premiums, boosted copayments and changed the pricing tiers for prescription drugs. A number of plans have four or five tiers of drug pricing, and your out-of-pocket costs could go up if the insurer moves your drugs from one pricing tier to another. If a medication moves from a preferred to a non-preferred brand-name drug or specialty drug, for example, you may have to pay as much as 25 percent of the cost yourself. Some plans even have two pricing tiers for generic drugs, charging a higher copayment for non-preferred generics.

Monday, November 25, 2013

Can 'Avatar' Save Disney's Animal Kingdom?

AVATAR (2009) ZOE SALDANA, SAM WORTHINGTON JAMES CAMERON (DIR) 010Alamy The afternoon exodus of turnstiles clicking the wrong way may soon be coming to an end at Disney's (DIS) Animal Kingdom. Disney announced over the weekend that an entire land themed to James Cameron's "Avatar" -- complete with at least two E-ticket attractions -- should open at the animal-themed park by early 2017. The addition of the fictional Na'vi tribe's lush Pandora moon landscape should help shake the park's negative tag of being a half-day park. It's been more than two years since Disney and Cameron announced that "Avatar" -- a 21st Century Fox (FOXA) property -- would be coming to Florida. At the time, the parties earmarked a $400 million investment and squared away several acres at Animal Kingdom for the project. However, things had been relatively quiet since then. After spending billions to acquire Marvel and Lucasfilm, it was only natural to wonder if Disney was having second thoughts about its blue-hued plan to use the section of the park that had originally been slated for the mythical Beastly Kingdom, before Disney settled for installing the far more modest Camp Minnie-Mickey. We're Back on Pandora Marvel and Lucasfilm properties would've been an odd fit, even for a park that stretches the scope of being an animal park to include talking bugs in a 3-D show, a track-wrecking yeti, and a time-traveling dinosaur-hunting thrill ride. Marvel itself comes with unique challenges. Marvel's most prolific characters are tied to a licensing deal with Comcast's (CMCSA) Islands of Adventure in the Universal Orlando Resort that prohibits their appearance at any of Disney's Florida parks. Since things had become so quiet on the "Avatar" front lately, it was easy to speculate that Disney was working on a deal to buy those rights from Comcast. That never happened. However, now that Disney has come clean with some more details and offered up impressive concept art, it seems as if the family entertainment giant has made the right call by dreaming up an experience where park guests will be able to take a leisurely boat ride through the bioluminescent forests of Pandora, or take the thrills up a notch by flying alongside the movie's mountain banshees. Scaling Everest A bit of back story: Animal Kingdom had a rocky reception after it opened in 1998. Outside of the magnetic Kilimanjaro Safari motorized trek through real animal habitats, many visitors were left heading for the exits after a few hours at the park. (I didn't win too many fans with a scathing rebuke at the time, but the park was a disappointment in its first few years.) The park went on to close as early as 5 p.m. some days, and attendance fell in each of its first four years. That turned around when Disney expanded the park to include popular stage shows and the Expedition Everest roller coaster. The park that had attracted 8.6 million guests in its first full year -- falling to 7.3 million by 2003 -- drew nearly 10 million guests last year, according to Themed Entertainment Association. Naturally Animal Kingdom can do even better, and the Avatar expansion will also include the introduction of a new nighttime show -- away from the live animal staging areas -- that will help keep guests at the park longer. It's going to be a long wait until early 2017 -- or the more likely late 2016 soft opening -- but at least Animal Kingdom can capitalize on the favorable momentum that's been building over the years before it shakes the distinction of being a park that can be knocked off in a few hours. Despite the uptick in attendance, the park is still closing at just 6 p.m. this week (7 p.m. on Saturdays). There's a lot of dinner business that the park is missing out by being so incomplete. That will change. It's better to be Na'vi than naive. Disney knows it needs "Avatar" at this point, and by the looks of things, when it arrives, it's going to be spectacular.

United States

Walt Disney (DIS)

Attendance:

2008: 118,000,000

2009: 119,100,000

2010: 120,600,000

1) Walt Disney Parks and Resorts

United Kingdom 

Attendance:

2008: 35,200,000

2009: 38,500,000

2010: 41,000,000

2) Merlin Entertainments Group

United States

Attendance:

2008: 25,700,000

2009: 23,700,000

2010: 26,300,000

3) Universal Studios Recreation Group

Spain

Attendance:

2008: 24,900,000

2009: 24,800,000

2010: 25,800,000

4) Parques Reunidos

United States

Six Flags, Inc. (SIX)

Attendance:

2008: 25,300,000

2009: 23,800,000

2010: 24,300,000

5) Six Flags Inc.

United States

Attendance:

2008: 23,000,000

2009: 23,500,000

2010: 22,400,000

6) SeaWorld Parks & Entertainment

United States

Cedar Fair, L.P. (FUN)

Attendance:

2008: 22,700,000

2009: 21,100,000

2010: 22,800,000

7) Cedar Fair Entertainment Company

 People's Republic of China

Attendance:

2008: 13,400,000

2009: 15,800,000

2010: 19,300,000

8) OCT Parks China

United States

Attendance:

2008: 8,300,000

2009: N/A

2010: 9,600,000

9) Herschend Family Entertainment Corporation

France

Saturday, November 23, 2013

Behind the Stock Bubble Talk, Hot Air

There's a bubble in bubbles on Wall Street -- or at least a bubble in blathering about bubbles. For evidence, consider the big, fat bubble that floated on the cover of the November 18th issue of Barron's. You'll also find the bubble meme in recent headlines: "5 signs the stock market is in a bubble" (CBS News); "'Definitely a bubble brewing' in stocks: Pro" (CNBC.com) and "As market bubbles form, investors may want to take cover" (Reuters).

SEE ALSO: 3 Reasons the Stock Market Is Not Overvalued (and One Reason It Might Be)

Here's the real bubble trouble: When you're really in one, you rarely hear about it. To those inside, bubbles are almost always invisible.

Economist Ed Yardeni calls all the talk about bubbles "Bubble Balderdash" in a recent briefing to clients. Record-high stock prices aren't in themselves cause for concern, he says, especially considering projections for record-high earnings next year. Yardeni's target for Standard & Poor's 500-stock index is 2014 by the end of 2014. That's 12% above the November 21 close of 1796.

What worries more is the possibility of a "melt up" -- stock prices climbing so high, so quickly that the S&P hits his target by, say, early next year. That could set the stage for a nasty correction.

But for now, bubble speculation is premature. Market guru Jim Stack, who has published the InvesTech Research newsletter since 1982, has some experience spotting bubbles. He was a lonely bear on the stock market in the late 1990s, refusing to embrace a "new paradigm" rationale for sky-high prices for tech stocks and big-capitalization growth stocks. That bubble burst in early 2000.

Stack readily admits that stocks aren't cheap anymore, but he doesn't yet see the "can't lose" and "gotta be on board" speculative mentality that marks a bubble. "Instead, we would simply say that stocks are richly priced, and any significant move higher from these levels will have to be accompanied by rising revenues and earnings," Stack recently told clients.

The extremes that typically portend a bubble, or even a market top, have yet to materialize, says Liz Ann Sonders, the chief investment strategist at Schwab & Co. "Everyone's poised for the next big crisis," she says. "First, there was Europe, then dysfunction in Washington and now, oddly, we're in a bubble."

Best Heal Care Companies To Watch For 2014

Just as bubbles are invisible, no one rings a bell at market tops, says Sonders. But there are signs to look for that in the past have signaled the end of a bull market. Among them:

Interest rates, after adjusting for inflation, are rising. This is the only sign that's in place at the moment, says Sonders, and it might not be as telling as it has been in the past. "The reason real rates are climbing now is that inflation has been falling -- you could even argue that inflation-adjusted rates are going up for a good reason, not a bad reason."

A significant pickup in initial public offerings and, in conjunction, a surge in merger and acquisition activity. "We've seen a pickup in both of those things," says Sonders, "but nothing like what we've seen at previous market tops." More than 200 IPOs have debuted in the U.S. so far this year, a 65% increase from a year ago, according to Renaissance Capital. Their average first-day pop: 17%. In 1999, 477 stocks debuted, and the average one-day return was 71%, according to data compiled by University of Florida finance professor Jay Ritter.

Frothy fund flows. Yes, the money flowing into U.S. stock funds has accelerated this year, with stock mutual funds receiving nearly $30 billion more than has come out of them. But that's hardly enough to make a dent in the roughly $600 billion in net outflows since 2008. In fact, "there is no investing cohort that has gone hog wild into the market," says Sonders. Hedge funds on average hold less than 50% of their assets in stocks, Sonders says. Moreover, stock holdings by foundations and endowments have dropped precipitously over the past decade, in favor of alternative asset classes (which are lagging traditional stock investments).

Overvalued stock prices. Stocks in the S&P 500 are trading at about 15 times estimated 2014 corporate earnings. The average long-term price-earnings ratio on estimated year-ahead earnings is 16.5, and the average at market peaks dating back to 1956 is just over 18. "People are obsessed that there's a bubble in the market," says Sonders. "But I'm not sure why that view has taken hold."



Thursday, November 21, 2013

Odds Favor Correction in 2014, Goldman Sachs Says

Goldman Sachs (GS) likes U.S. stocks. Its equity strategists, led by David Kostin, think the S&P 500 will end 2014 at 1,900, good for a 6% gain. But it could be a bumpy ride, they say.

Reuters

Kostin and team write:

Drawdown risk rising after 40% rally with no correction: S&P 500 has soared 26% YTD. The median expected drawdown equals 6% in the next three months and 11% during the next 12 months. Drawdowns of these magnitudes from the current level would equate to 1700 and 1600. We estimate a 67% probability of a 10% drawdown at some point in 2014…

We are not forecasting a decline in the index, but providing an estimate of the lowest  point it may reach on its way to our future target.

Top 5 Growth Companies For 2014

Goldman Sachs, however, does see a pickup in capital spending, which is generally linked to an acceleration in economic growth and and an increase in sales, as companies only start to spend after they see a “ increased activity and demand.” That could benefit companies who aren’t spending much now but have strong returns on invested capital, including Marathon Oil (MRO), ConocoPhillips (COP), and Starbucks (SBUX).

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Three IPOs Better Than Twitter

While Twitter has had a lot of hype, for my money, there are better long-term investments out there among the hot group of IPOs to debut in 2013, suggests Chris Preston in Daily Profit.

The sheer volume of IPOs this year has produced some true diamonds in the rough. Three in particular look like better long-term plays than Twitter.

INSYS Therapeutics (INSY) is one recent IPO that jumps out. The Arizona-based pharmaceutical company markets a synthetic marijuana drug to treat cancer pain. It went public in May at $8 per share. It opened at over $46 per share.

Despite being one the best performing IPOs of 2013, Insys is still cheap on a forward-PE basis. Shares are trading at 26-times forward earnings.

That's a bargain considering the company has no debt, grew revenues by 431% last quarter, and is expected to grow EPS by 58% in 2014.

Another thriving recent IPO is Potbelly's (PBPB). An operator of close to 300 sandwich shops throughout the US, Potbelly's shares have popped 85% since the company went public in early October.

The company has grown revenues at an average of 14% a year over the past five years—as much as seven times the restaurant industry's average 2-3% annual growth rate during that time.

Better yet, the company is expanding. Potbelly chains are popping up in places like New York and Portland, Oregon. All told, the sandwich shop plans to open 35 new locations this year, and intends to use the proceeds to help fund a dividend.

A third recent IPO that could be a strong long-term play is ExOne (XONE). ExOne supplies three-dimensional (3-D) printing machines and products to industrial customers.

A relatively new technology, 3-D printing gives companies the ability to print three-dimensional replicas of real parts taken directly from digital input.

Admittedly, ExOne is a bit of a high-risk, high-reward investment. The company isn't profitable. But 3-D printing is one of the hottest niche sectors on the market since there is soaring demand for these products.

ExOne shares are up 132% since the company went public in early February. And fellow 3-D printer 3D Systems (DDD) is up a whopping 479% since the company debuted in May 2011. Perhaps that's where ExOne is headed in the next year or two.

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More from MoneyShow.com:

Twitter IPO is Investing at its Worst

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Consumers and Tweets

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

One Stock Type Stands Out

A recent investor conference highlighted the type of company that MoneyShow's Jim Jubak thinks will do well in the current environment and continue to improve in the future.

Okay, I think we're starting to get an idea for what might be the ideal kind of stock for the economy as we're looking at it, and if you look at the analyst state that Cummins—that's symbol (CMI), they're a diesel engine manufacturer—recently held on September 16, you get a sense of what that is. What they said hit a very good chord with Wall Street. You had people raising their target prices by $20 and $30 a share. Cummins trades at $135, so that's not quite as big as if you were talking about a $20 increase on a $50 stock, but still pretty impressive.

What Cummins said that really, I think, has resonated with Wall Street and investors is that, "Hey, we're going to be able to grow faster than GDP." I think this is the big challenge, and for Cummins, it's going to do it in two ways. One is, they're going to find, they're investing in new products, so they're coming out and that's going to give them better margins, new sales, and the others are taking market share.

What I think you're looking at if you're trying to figure out where you might want to put your money, if you can find another stock like Cummins, great, but Cummins is the model, and the reason is that you're looking at growth in the US, 2%, in Europe, a recovery to maybe 1%. You see growth falling in China, India, Brazil, all of those markets are not doing all that well, and it doesn't seem like it's a short term problem. It's not going to be fixed in one quarter, so if you'd really like somebody that's growing better than 2% or 4% or 5%, you've really got to find somebody who's investing in R&D. And that's what Cummins is doing, they're coming out with new products all the time, lower emissions to sell diesel engines into countries which are sort of tightening down on the emissions that diesels can put out. They've got a new line of natural gas powered engines coming out for buses, et cetera, so product innovation, as well as, they seem to be able to lower their costs and so they're gaining share from competitors. Those two things enabled them to grow faster than the market, and I think that's actually the kind of stuff you're looking for in this particular economy, and that is going to be rewarded by investors who know what this economy is like.

This is Jim Jubak for the MoneyShow.com video network.

Monday, November 18, 2013

Will Comcast Continue to Trade Near Highs for the Year?

With shares of Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) trading around $47, is CMCSA an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE, or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

T = Trends for a Stock’s Movement

Comcast is a provider of entertainment, information, and communications products and services. The company operates in five segments: cable communications, cable networks, broadcast television, filmed entertainment, and theme parks. Comcast offers television, video, high-speed Internet, and voice services to residential and business customers. It also operates NBC and Telemundo broadcast networks; provides filmed entertainment under the Universal Pictures, Focus Features, and Illumination names; and operates theme parks, studios, and a dining, retail, and entertainment complex.

Comcast will be bringing more than 35 channels, as well as its digital library of on-demand products, to mobile devices via Wi-Fi. The use of streaming, intended for customers of the cable company, is a departure from Comcast's previous policies, which restricted the amount of content that could be accessed from devices other than televisions. The decision to include online viewings of shows by some ratings agencies almost certainly factored into the company's decision.

T = Technicals on the Stock Chart Are Strong

Comcast stock has been trending higher over the past few quarters. The stock is currently trading near all time highs. Analyzing the price trend and its strength can be done using key simple moving averages. What are the key moving averages? The 50-day (pink), 100-day (blue), and 200-day (yellow) simple moving averages. As seen in the daily price chart below, Comcast is trading above its rising key averages, which signal neutral to bullish price action in the near-term.

CMCSA

(Source: Thinkorswim)

Taking a look at the implied volatility (red) and implied volatility skew levels of Comcast options may help determine if investors are bullish, neutral, or bearish.

Implied Volatility (IV)

30-Day IV Percentile

90-Day IV Percentile

Comcast Options

18.39%

10%

8%

What does this mean? This means that investors or traders are buying a small amount of call and put options contracts as compared to the last 30 and 90 trading days.

Put IV Skew

Call IV Skew

December Options

Flat

Average

January Options

Flat

Average

As of today, there is an average demand from call buyers or sellers and low demand by put buyers or high demand by put sellers, all neutral to bullish over the next two months. To summarize, investors are buying a small amount of call and put option contracts and are leaning neutral to bullish over the next two months.

On the next page, let’s take a look at the earnings and revenue growth rates and the conclusion.

E = Earnings Are Increasing Quarter-Over-Quarter

Rising stock prices are often strongly correlated with rising earnings and revenue growth rates. Also, the last four quarterly earnings announcement reactions help gauge investor sentiment on Comcast’s stock. What do the last four quarterly earnings and revenue growth (Y-O-Y) figures for Comcast look like and more importantly, how did the markets like these numbers?

2013 Q3

2013 Q2

2013 Q1

2012 Q4

Earnings Growth (Y-O-Y)

-16.67%

30.00%

20.00%

20.09%

Revenue Growth (Y-O-Y)

-2.38%

6.96%

2.90%

5.95%

Earnings Reaction

-1.29%

5.54%

1.35%

0.85%

Comcast has seen increasing earnings and revenue figures over the last four quarters. From these numbers, the markets have been pleased with Comcast’s recent earnings announcements.

P = Average Relative Performance Versus Peers and Sector

How has Comcast stock done relative to its peers, Time Warner Cable (NYSE:TWC), DirecTV (NASDAQ:DTV), Dish Network (NASDAQ:DISH), and sector?

Top Growth Stocks To Own Right Now

Comcast

Time Warner Cable

DirecTV

Dish Network

Sector

Year-to-Date Return

27.09%

24.18%

28.57%

39.42%

30.81%

Comcast has been an average relative performer, year-to-date.

Conclusion

Comcast provides communications and entertainment products and services to consumers and companies. The company will be bringing more than 35 channels, as well as its digital library of on-demand products, to mobile devices via Wi-Fi. The stock has been trending higher over the past few quarters and is currently trading near all time highs. Over the last four quarters, earnings and revenues have been increasing, which has left investors pleased about recent earnings announcements. Relative to its peers and sector, Comcast has been an average year-to-date performer. Look for Comcast to OUTPERFORM.

Sunday, November 17, 2013

Great Credit Crunch Issues Remain Five Years After Start

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- This week marks the fifth anniversary of when the banking regulators finally realized that the Great Credit Crunch was a real and current danger to the banking system and hence the U.S. economy.

Today, the National Association of Home Builders, or NAHB, reports its Housing Market Index for September. The reading for August was a multi-year high of 59, well above the neutral 50 reading. This reading was just 17 and on the way to a record low of 8, in January 2008.

Five years ago, the federal funds rate was at 2%, lowered to that level on April 30, 2008. On Oct. 8, the rate was cut to 1.5% then to 1% on Oct. 29, and then to 0% on December 16, where it remains today. In my opinion, this rate should never have been taken below 3%, as savers have been pinched for five years now.

In mid-September 2008, initial jobless claims were 488,000 and this statistic did not peak until March 2009, at 651,000. Last week, this reading was below 300,000. The four-week moving average was 321,250, below the recessionary threshold of 350,000. The "too big to fail" money-center banks began to get bigger in January 2008, when Bank of America (BAC) bought Countrywide Financial. Then in mid-September, it took over Merrill Lynch. Next week, the company gets booted from the Dow Jones Industrial Average, despite being up 56.2% over the last 12 months. [Read: Our 401(k)s Show We're Not Taking Investor Confidence Seriously ] JPMorgan Chase (JPM) took over Bear Stearns in March 2008, after the Federal Reserve stripped out the toxic assets. Then in late-September, it added Washington Mutual. JPMorgan is the only money center and major regional bank with a buy rating, according to ValuEngine, but it appears to be on the cusp of a downgrade to hold. Today the banking giant faces a fine of up to $800 million in settlement of the legal issues associated with the $6 billion loss from the "London Whale" trade. Citigroup (C) appeared to have added Wachovia in an FDIC-led merger on Sep. 29, 2008, but was left at the merger altar when Wells Fargo (WFC) bought Wachovia with a much better bid on Oct. 3, 2008.

Last week, on Sept. 9, I wrote JPMorgan Upgraded as Banking System Heals, where I showed that the "too big to fail" banks continue to get bigger. As a foursome, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells Fargo and Bank of America control about 44% of the $14.41 trillion total assets in the banking system.

Also on Sept. 9, I wrote, Housing Bubble Is Re-inflating and on Wednesday morning, we will get the latest reading on single-family housing starts, which is the key statistic for the homebuilders. Higher home prices, higher mortgage rates and continued tight lending standards for C&D loans for builders and mortgage loans for home buyers could result in a slowdown in the housing market.

On Sept. 10, I wrote, Bank Earnings Rise, but Not Real Estate Lending and on the same day we learned that the "too big to fail" banks were experiencing a significant drop-off in mortgage originations, and the foursome announced significant job cuts in this business line.

Top 10 Performing Companies For 2014

[Read: Wall Street's Concerns on Apple Are Misplaced] A key statistic that has been ignored on Wall Street and in the media is the fact that the FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile for second-quarter 2013 showed a mark-to-market loss of $51.1 billion in fixed-income securities in the "available for sale" category. So far in the third quarter, U.S. Treasury yields have moved even higher, so this mark-to-market is likely growing. On Sep 11, I wrote, Community Banks With CRE Loan Exposures, where I showed 90 publicly traded banks that were still overexposed to CRE loans. I followed up this story on Sep. 13 in, Umpqua Holdings Buys Sterling Financial; Sterling Financial (STSA) was on my list of 90 that I profiled in this post. Sterling had a buy rating, according to ValuEngine. Last Friday, the FDIC closed First National Bank, Edinburg, Texas, using their bank failure procedures. This bank was not publicly traded, but it illustrates the problems that remain in the banking system. First National had $3.28 billion in assets at the end of the second quarter, with $341 million in C&D loans on its books. Its C&D to risk-based capital ratio was 314.4%, well above the 100% regulatory guideline. Its CRE to risk-based capital was 1,214.1%, well above the 300% regulatory guideline. The CRE loan commitments were 94.3% funded. This failure cost the FDIC Deposit Insurance Fund $637.5 million.

[Read: Behind the Ethanol Scandal ] At the end of fourth-quarter 2010, First National Bank had $3.83 billion in assets with $622 million in C&D loans on its books. Its risk ratios at the end of 2010 were 181.0% and 492.7%, respectively, with a pipeline 90.7% funded. Clearly an overexposure to CRE loans caused its demise.

The FDIC has slowed down the bank failure process. Only 25 in 2008, 140 in 2009, 157 in 2010, 92 in 2011, 51 in 2012 and only 22 so far in 2013. That's a total of 487 bank failures, with more to come. My ongoing prediction has been that at least 500 failures would occur before the Great Credit Crunch comes to an end.

An ignored victim of the Great Credit Crunch has been Main Street USA. We see a higher cost of living as the costs of home and health insurance rise, while family incomes slip. Even with a five-year U.S. Treasury yield up to 1.6%, most big banks offer savers only 0.8%. The big banks have also raised rates on loans to small businesses. The best rate you can get on a credit card is about 12%. Explain that, given a 0% federal funds rate. At the time of publication the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned.

Follow @Suttmeier This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.

Richard Suttmeier has an engineering degree from Georgia Tech and a master of science from Brooklyn Poly. He began his career in the financial services industry in 1972 trading U.S. Treasury securities in the primary dealer community. In 1981 he formed the Government Bond Department at LF Rothschild and helped establish that firm as a primary dealer in 1986. Richard began writing market research in 1984 and held positions as market strategist at firms such as Smith Barney, William R Hough, Joseph Stevens, and Rightside Advisors. He joined www.ValuEngine.com in 2008 producing newsletters covering the U.S. capital markets, and a universe of more than 7,000 stocks. Richard employs a "buy and trade" investment strategy and can be reached at RSuttmeier@Gmail.com.

Saturday, November 16, 2013

Get The Most Out Of Employee Stock Options

An employee stock option plan can be a lucrative investment instrument if properly managed. For this reason, these plans have long served as a successful tool to attract top executives, and in recent years become a popular means to lure non-executive employees. Unfortunately, some still fail to take full advantage of the money generated by their employee stock. Understanding the nature of stock options, taxation and the impact on personal income is key to maximizing such a potentially lucrative perk.

What's an Employee Stock Option?
An employee stock option is a contract issued by an employer to an employee to purchase a set amount of shares of company stock at a fixed price for a limited period of time. There are two broad classifications of stock options issued: non-qualified stock options (NSO) and incentive stock options (ISO).

Non-qualified stock options differ from incentive stock options in two ways. First, NSOs are offered to non-executive employees and outside directors or consultants. By contrast, ISOs are strictly reserved for employees (more specifically, executives) of the company. Secondly, nonqualified options do not receive special federal tax treatment, while incentive stock options are given favorable tax treatment because they meet specific statutory rules described by the Internal Revenue Code (more on this favorable tax treatment is provided below).

NSO and ISO plans share a common trait: they can feel complex! Transactions within these plans must follow specific terms set forth by the employer agreement and the Internal Revenue Code.

Grant Date, Expiration, Vesting and Exercise
To begin, employees are typically not granted full ownership of the options on the initiation date of the contract (also know as the grant date). They must comply with a specific schedule known as the vesting schedule when exercising their options. The vesting schedule begins on the day the options are granted and lists the dates that an employee is able to exercise a spec! ific number of shares. For example, an employer may grant 1,000 shares on the grant date, but a year from that date, 200 shares will vest (the employee is given the right to exercise 200 of the 1,000 shares initially granted). The year after, another 200 shares are vested, and so on. The vesting schedule is followed by an expiration date. On this date, the employer no longer reserves the right for its employee to purchase company stock under the terms of the agreement.

An employee stock option is granted at a specific price, known as the exercise price. It is the price per share that an employee must pay to exercise his or her options. The exercise price is important because it is used to determine the gain (called the bargain element) and the tax payable on the contract. The bargain element is calculated by subtracting the exercise price from the market price of the company stock on the date the option is exercised.

Taxing Employee Stock Options
The Internal Revenue Code also has a set of rules that an owner must obey to avoid paying hefty taxes on his or her contracts. The taxation of stock option contracts depends on the type of option owned.

For non-qualified stock options (NSO):

The grant is not a taxable event.
Taxation begins at the time of exercise. The bargain element of a non-qualified stock option is considered "compensation" and is taxed at ordinary income tax rates. For example, if an employee is granted 100 shares of Stock A at an exercise price of $25, the market value of the stock at the time of exercise is $50. The bargain element on the contract is ($50 - $25) x 100=$2,500. Note that we are assuming that these shares are 100% vested.
The sale of the security triggers another taxable event: If the employee decides to sell the shares immediately (or less than a year from exercise), the transaction will be reported as a short-term capital gain (or loss) and will be subject to tax at ordinary income tax rates. If the employee decides to sell the shares a year after the exercise, the sale will be reported as a long-term capital gain (or loss) and the tax will be reduced. Incentive stock options (ISO) receive special tax treatment:

The grant is not a taxable transaction.
No taxable events are reported at exercise; however, the bargain element of an incentive stock option may trigger alternative minimum tax (AMT).
The first taxable event occurs at the sale. If the shares are sold immediately after they are exercised, the bargain element is treated as ordinary income.
The gain on the contract will be treated as a long-term capital gain if the following rule is honored: the stocks have to be held for 12 months after exercise and should not be sold until two years after the grant date. For example, suppose that Stock A is granted on January 1, 2007 (100% vested). The executive exercises the options on June 1, 2008. Should he or she wish to report the gain on the contract as a long-term capital gain, the stock cannot be sold before June 1, 2009. Other Considerations
Although the timing of a stock option strategy is important, there are other considerations to be made. Another key aspect of stock option planning is the effect that these instruments will have on overall asset allocation. For any investment plan to be successful, the assets have to be properly diversified. An employee should be wary of concentrated positions on any company's stock. Most financial advisors suggest that company stock should represent 20% (at most) of the overall investment plan. While you may feel comfortable investing a larger percentage of your portfolio in your own company, it's simply safer to diversify. Consult a financial and/or tax specialist to determine the best execution plan for your portfolio.

Bottom Line
Conceptually, options are an attractive payment method. What better way to encourage employees to participate in the growth of a company than by offering them a piece of the pie? In practice, however, redemption and taxation of these instruments can be quite complicated. Most employees do not understand the tax effects of owning and exercising their options. As a result, they can be heavily penalized by Uncle Sam and often miss out on some of the money generated by these contracts. Remember that selling your employee stock immediately after exercise will induce the higher short-term capital gains tax. Waiting until the sale qualifies for the lesser long-term capital gains tax can save you hundreds, or even thousands.

Thursday, November 14, 2013

Skipping the Gifts: A Different Approach to the Holiday Season

Top Safest Stocks To Watch Right Now

Gift boxes on old wooden backgroundAlamy According to the National Retail Federation, the average American will spend nearly $740 on gifts, decorations and greeting cards this holiday season. But S.S. Gee Burro, a Pennsylvania-based author, is not an average American -- at least, not when it comes to his family's gifting practices. "Each member in my family has a stocking, and each family member puts in a gift that costs no more than $2," he says, noting that the threshold had been raised from $1 due to inflation. "We all know who left buying until the last minute -- they are the ones who bring lottery tickets." With 20 family members present for Christmas, that keeps per-person Christmas spending below $40, and he says the only gifts given beyond the stockings tend to be of the hand-made variety. That concept will feel alien to most Americans, who follow a fairly predictable holiday gifting pattern: You make a list of what to get for friends and family, you start your serious shopping shortly after you're done with Thanksgiving dinner, and then you spend hundreds of dollars on gifts over the course of the month-long shopping season. But for many families, the gifting regimen isn't quite so simple. Due in part to lingering economic uncertainties, some are pulling back from their usual spending habits -- and a fraction are skipping holiday commercialism altogether. More for Me, Less for Thee One trend that's grown in the last few years is so-called self-gifting, which is exactly what it sounds like: Treating yourself to some 'gifts' around the holidays. Pam Goodfellow, consumer insights director for Prosper Insights and Analytics, says that self-gifters will spend about $130 on themselves this year, and observes that the trend really stepped up in the wake of the recession. "We've become smarter shoppers overall, and shoppers are delaying purchases they would have made earlier in the year," she says. In other words, these aren't exactly "self-gifts" -- they're just things that consumers were already planning on buying, but put off buying until they could get a great deal during the holiday sales. Retailers clearly recognize this trend, packing their Black Friday sales with appliances and electronics that people are likely to buy for themselves. With that in mind, it might seem that self-gifting is merely taking the place of year-round discretionary spending, rather than replacing a gift you might have otherwise bought for a friend or family-member. But NPD analyst Marshal Cohen says that if you're buying a TV for yourself on Black Friday, it's inevitable that you're going to scale down your gifting a bit. "It does take the place of some of the gifting that would normally be done," says Cohen. "But it's the second level of relatives that get hurt -- if you're an uncle, you're not necessarily getting a gift from your niece or nephew." And even if your uncle still gets a gift, he might not get what he wants. Cohen says that consumers these days are more likely to let sales and coupons dictate what gifts they buy for others. "I have a finite amount of funds, and now I have to make the rest of my list go just as far but on less money," says Cohen. "If I find a cashmere sweater for $69, then that's what you're getting this year." Getting Creative Such strategies represent a frugal-minded adjustment of typical gifting practices. But a minority of Americans are going a step further by skipping the biggest excesses of the holiday shopping season altogether. Burro's $2 gift exchange is an extreme example. But others take a similarly measured approach to gifting that keeps the total expenditure down. Carly Fauth of Money Crashers says that while the kids in her family still get gifts, the adults skip the iPads and cashmere sweaters in favor of a white elephant exchange with a $20 cap. "We decide the theme at Thanksgiving (this year it's 'star') and then everyone has to buy one $20 gift that fits the theme and bring it to Christmas Eve," she says. "This actually cuts down on a lot of the stress of shopping for the holidays." Another creative approach is to more or less skip physical gifts altogether. "Instead of giving each other gifts, my husband and I surprise the family with trips," says Michelle Gannon, who runs a language-learning company. "[They're] just quick weekend adventures, but we put a little 'brochure' in each other's stockings." With more than half of all Americans expected to hit the malls on Black Friday alone, it's clear that these creative non-gifters are very much in the minority. But economic uncertainties and a renewed interested in do-it-yourself projects could conspire to make more people reconsider the traditional gifting spree. "I think everybody is still second-guessing what they're spending and who they're buying for, and even what they could possibly make instead of go out to the store and buy," says Goodfellow. "Pinterest has really driven this DIY trend, and making something more personal is more accepted than it was before."

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Top 5 Canadian Stocks For 2014

As you probably recall, toward the end of February China's oil giant CNOOC (NYSE: CEO  ) closed on its largest purchase ever, a $15.1 billion takeover of Canadian oil and gas company Nexen. With that acquisition, CNOOC has now expanded its presence in Canada and the U.S. -- both onshore and in the Gulf of Mexico -- to go along with operations in the South and East China seas, Indonesia, Iraq, Australia, Africa, South America, and the North Sea.

Should we be concerned about the company's movement into many of the world's major producing areas? After all, while many look to China as the primary engine of global economic growth, there are those who view the giant country as a hotbed of corruption and fraud.

CAT's catastrophe
The powers that be at heavy-equipment manufacturer Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT  ) would probably vote for the later label. The company acquired a Chinese mine safety equipment manufacturer last summer, only to discover before year's end the presence of "deliberate multi-year, coordinated accounting misconduct." The uncovered shenanigans necessitated a write-off of most of the value of the $653.4 million deal and forced a paring away of about half of the Caterpillar's expected earnings for the fourth quarter.

Top 5 Canadian Stocks For 2014: Newmont Mining Corporation(Holding Company)

Newmont Mining Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and production of gold and copper properties. The company?s assets or operations are located in the United States, Australia, Peru, Indonesia, Ghana, Canada, New Zealand, and Mexico. As of December 31, 2009, it had proven and probable gold reserves of approximately 93.5 million equity ounces and an aggregate land position of approximately 27,500 square miles. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

Top 5 Canadian Stocks For 2014: MicroFinancial Incorporated(MFI)

Microfinancial Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, operates as a specialized commercial finance company that provides microticket equipment leasing and rental, and other financing services in the United States. The company provides financing alternatives, and leases and rents commercial equipment to start-up and established businesses for use in their daily operations. It leases water filtration systems, food service equipment, security equipment, point-of-sale cash registers, salon equipment, health care and fitness equipment, and automotive equipment. The company primarily sources its originations through a network of independent equipment vendors, sales organizations, and other dealer-based origination networks. Microfinancial Incorporated was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Woburn, Massachusetts.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Eric Lam]

    Alacer Gold Corp. and Iamgold Corp. rallied at least 5.9 percent as the metal traded at its highest in 11 weeks. Maple Leaf Foods Inc. (MFI) jumped 7.8 percent as it agreed to sell a unit for C$645 million ($614 million). Penn West Petroleum (PWT) Ltd. added 1.7 percent after cutting 25 percent of its workforce to reduce costs.

Top 5 Performing Companies To Own In Right Now: Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.(RCL)

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. operates in the cruise vacation industry worldwide. It owns five cruise brands, which comprise Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, Pullmantur, Azamara Club Cruises, and CDF Croisi�es de France. The Royal Caribbean International brand provides various itineraries and cruise lengths with options for onboard dining, entertainment, and other onboard activities primarily for the contemporary segment. It offers surf simulators, water parks, ice skating rinks, rock climbing walls, and shore excursions at each port of call, as well as boulevards with shopping, dining, and entertainment venues. The Celebrity Cruises brand operates onboard upscale ships that offer luxurious accommodations, fine dining, personalized services, spa facilities, venue featuring live grass, and glass blowing studio for the premium segment, as well as resells computers and other media devices. The Pullmantur brand provides an array of onboard activities and serv ices to guests, including exercise facilities, swimming pools, beauty salons, gaming facilities, shopping, dining, complimentary beverages, and entertainment venues serving the contemporary segment of the Spanish, Portuguese, and Latin American cruise markets. The Azamara Club Cruises brand offers various onboard services, amenities, gaming facilities, fine dining, spa and wellness, butler service for suites, and interactive entertainment venues for the up-market segment of the North American, United Kingdom, German, and Australian markets. The CDF Croisieres de France brand offers seasonal itineraries to the Mediterranean; and various onboard services, amenities, entertainment venues, exercise and spa facilities, fine dining, and gaming facilities for the contemporary segment of the French cruise market. As of December 31, 2011, the company operated 39 ships with a total capacity of approximately 92,650 berths. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. was founded in 1968 and is headqua rtered in Miami, Florida.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jon C. Ogg]

    Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE: RCL) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.

    Sanchez Energy Corp. (NYSE: SN) was initiated with a Buy rating and $31 price target at Canaccord Genuity.

  • [By Caroline Bennett]

    Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE: RCL  ) has signed a contract with shipyard Meyer Werft to begin building a new Quantum-class cruise ship, its third such vessel, the company announced today. The ship is scheduled for delivery during the middle of 2016.

  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    Carnival�(CCL) has fallen 7.6% to $34.56 in early trading this morning after the company reported a profit of $1.38, above forecasts for $1.32, but issued disappointing guidance. It’s also dragging down shares of�Royal�Caribbean�Cruises (RCL), which have fallen 3.1% to $38.18.

Top 5 Canadian Stocks For 2014: North American Energy Partners Inc. (NOA)

North American Energy Partners Inc. provides heavy construction and mining, piling, and pipeline installation services to customers in the Canadian oil sands, industrial construction, commercial and public construction, and pipeline construction markets. The company operates in three segments: Heavy Construction and Mining, Piling, and Pipeline. The Heavy Construction and Mining segment focuses on providing surface mining support services for oil sands and other natural resources. Its activities include land clearing, stripping, muskeg removal, and overburden removal to expose the mining area; the supply of labor and equipment to supplement customers� mining fleets supporting ore mining; and provision of general support services, such as road building, repair and maintenance for mine and treatment plant operations, and hauling of sand and gravel. This segment also engages in the construction related to the expansion of existing projects-site development and infrastructure ; and the provision of environmental and tailings management services. In addition, it provides industrial site construction for mega-projects; and underground utility installation services for plant, refinery, and commercial building construction. The Piling segment installs driven, drilled, and screw piles, as well as caissons and earth retention, and stabilization systems. It also designs, manufactures, and sells screw piles and pipeline anchoring systems worldwide, as well as provides tank maintenance services to the petro-chemical industry in Canada and the United States. The Pipeline segment provides small and large diameter pipeline construction and installation services, as well as equipment rental to energy and industrial clients. The company�s fleet includes approximately 900 pieces of diversified heavy construction equipment supported by approximately 750 pieces of ancillary equipment. North American Energy Partners Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered i n Calgary, Canada.

Top 5 Canadian Stocks For 2014: Castle (A.M.)

A. M. Castle & Co., together with its subsidiaries, distributes specialty metals and plastics worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Metals and Plastics. The Metals segment distributes engineered specialty grades and alloys of metals, as well as provides specialized processing services. It offers alloy, aluminum, nickel, stainless steel, carbon, and titanium in various forms, such as plate, sheet, extrusions, round bar, hexagon bar, square and flat bar, tubing, and coil. This segment also performs various specialized fabrications for its customers through pre-qualified subcontractors that thermally process, turn, polish, and straighten alloy and carbon bars. The Plastics segment distributes various plastics in forms that include plate, rod, tube, clear sheet, tape, gaskets, and fittings. The company serves Fortune 500 companies, as well as medium and smaller sized firms in the retail, automotive, marine, office furniture and fixtures, safety products, life scienc es applications, general manufacturing, producer durable equipment, oil and gas, aerospace and defense, heavy industrial equipment, industrial goods, and construction equipment industries. It has operations in the United States, Canada, Mexico, France, the United Kingdom, China, and Singapore. The company was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois.

Monday, November 11, 2013

How a Plant Fire Helps Micron and SanDisk

Best Gold Companies To Own In Right Now

Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) and SanDisk Corp. (NASDAQ: SNDK) are both winning at the loss of one of their competitors in the world of DRAM. Reports of a fire at a Chinese plant under rival SK Hynix Semiconductor is giving these companies another leg up. In fact, Micron even hit a new multiyear high earlier on Wednesday.

Stern Agee said that there is potential for a minor DRAM-NAND disruption from this Hynix fire as a potential supply disruption. Sterne Agee said that this would be a positive for both SanDisk Corp. (NASDAQ: SNDK) and Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU). These shares are both rated as Buy at the firm.

China’s Xinhua News reported,

One person has been slightly injured after a factory workshop in east China’s Jiangsu Province caught fire on Wednesday afternoon. … The fire broke out at 3:30 p.m. in a workshop of SK Hynix Semiconductor Company (China) in Wuxi City. Witnesses told of dense smoke coming from the building.

Piper Jaffray has also “piped” in here. Both Micron and SanDisk saw their Overweight ratings reiterated because it believes that the workshop produces some 170,000 wafers per month. It also noted that this one spot may contribute as much as 15% to 20% of the worldwide global DRAM capacity. DRAM pricing was noted as being down 5% to 15% in this quarter, but up 70% or so year to date.

Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) was up over 4% at $14.59 and hit a new multiyear high of $15.27 earlier on Wednesday. SanDisk Corp. (NASDAQ: SNDK) is up right at 3% at $56.95 against a 52-week range of $38.47 to $63.97. Jefferies also reiterated its Buy rating and $21 price target for Micron. We are seeing similar gains in Spansion Inc. (NYSE: CODE), up 2.3% at $10.69, but we would warn that its 52-week range is $9.96 to $14.54. Wells Fargo initiated coverage with an Outperform rating and a $12 to $14 valuation.

Sunday, November 10, 2013

Top 10 Stocks To Invest In Right Now

LONDON -- I'm looking at some of your favorite FTSE 100 companies and examining how each will deliver their dividends.

Today, I'm putting Anglo-Dutch consumer goods giant�Unilever� (LSE: ULVR  ) (NYSE: UL  ) under the microscope.

Dividend policy
Soon after Paul Polman took over as chief executive in January 2009, Unilever announced a new dividend policy to run from 2010 onward:�"Unilever's policy is to seek to pay an attractive, sustainable and growing dividend to shareholders."

The company said it would move from paying an interim and final dividend each year to paying four quarterly dividends, announced with the quarterly results. It added that the change would�"better align the payments with the cash flow generation of the business."

Dividend delivery
The table below shows the extent to which Unilever has grown its dividend since the move to quarterly payouts. It should be noted that the company's reporting currency is the euro. Thus, the euro dividend is the gauge for measuring performance against policy, while the sterling dividend is at the mercy -- for better or worse -- of prevailing exchange rates.

Top 10 Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Tetra Technologies Inc.(TTI)

TETRA Technologies, Inc. operates as a diversified oil and gas services company. The company operates in three divisions: Fluids, Production Enhancement, and Offshore. The Fluids Division manufactures and markets clear brine fluids, additives, and other associated products and services to the oil and gas industry for use in well drilling, completion, and workover operations in the United States, as well as in various countries in Latin America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa; and markets liquid and dry calcium chloride products to non-energy markets. The Production Enhancement division offers production testing services in various oil and gas basins in the United States, as well as in Mexico, Brazil, northern Africa, and the Middle East; and wellhead compression-based production enhancement services in the onshore producing regions of the United States, as well as various onshore basins in Canada, Mexico, South America, Europe, and Asia. The Offshore division pr ovides offshore services, including downhole and subsea oil and gas services, such as well plugging and abandonment, and wireline services; decommissioning and construction services utilizing heavy lift barges and various technologies for offshore oil and gas production platforms and pipelines; and conventional and saturated air diving services. It also engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas properties in the offshore and onshore U.S. Gulf Coast region. This division provides its services to oil and gas companies and independent operators. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in the Woodlands, Texas.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Monica Wolfe]

    Tetra Technologies (TTI)

    During the second quarter Ashton upped his stake in Tetra Technologies by 91.82%. The guru purchased 71,800 shares in the second quarter price range of $8.29 to $11.21, with an estimated average price of $9.74. Since his buy the price per share has increased approximately 20.1%.

  • [By Seth Jayson]

    When judging a company's prospects, how quickly it turns cash outflows into cash inflows can be just as important as how much profit it's booking in the accounting fantasy world we call "earnings." This is one of the first metrics I check when I'm hunting for the market's best stocks. Today, we'll see how it applies to TETRA Technologies (NYSE: TTI  ) .

Top 10 Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Itau Unibanco Holding SA (ITUB.N)

Itau Unibanco Holding S.A., incorporated on September 9, 1943, is a bank in Brazil. The Company has four operational segments: Commercial Banking, Itau BBA, Consumer Credit and Corporate and Treasury. Commercial banking, including insurance, pension plan and capitalization products, credit cards, asset management and a variety of credit products and services for individuals, small and middle-market companies). Itau BBA includes corporate and investment banking. Consumer credit includes financial products and services to its non-accountholders. Corporate and treasury includes the results related to the trading activities in its portfolio, trading related to managing currency, interest rate and other market risk factors, gap management and arbitrage opportunities in domestic and foreign markets. It also includes the results associated with financial income from the investment of its excess capital.

On October 24, 2010, Itau Unibanco completed the integration of customer service locations throughout Brazil. In total, 998 branches and 245 customer site branches (CSB) of Unibanco were redesigned and integrated as Itau Unibanco customer service locations, thus creating a network of approximately 4,700 units in the country under the Itau brand. The Company is a financial holding company controlled by Itau Unibanco Participacoes S.A. (IUPAR). As of December 31, 2010, it had a network of 3,747 service branches throughout Brazil. As of December 31, 2010, it operated 913 CSBs throughout Brazil. As of December 31, 2010, it operated 28,844 automated teller machines (ATMs) throughout Brazil.

Commercial banking

The commercial banking segment offers a range of banking services to a diversified base of individuals and companies. Services offered by the commercial banking segment include insurance, pension plan and capitalization products, credit cards, asset management, credit products and customized products and solu tions. The commercial banking segment comprises the special! i! zed areas and products, such as retail banking (individuals); public sector banking; personnalite (banking for high-income individuals); private banking (banking and financial consulting for wealthy individuals); very small business banking; small business banking; middle-market banking; credit cards; real estate financing; asset management; corporate social responsibility fund; securities services for third parties; brokerage, and insurance, private retirement and capitalization products.

The Company�� credit products include personal loans, overdraft protection, payroll loans, vehicles, credit cards, mortgage and agricultural loans, working capital, trade note discount and export. Its investments products include pension plans, mutual funds, time deposits, demand deposit accounts, savings accounts and capitalization plans. Its services include insurance (life, home, credit/cash cards, vehicles, loan protection, among others), exchange, brokerage and others. Its core business is retail banking, which serves individuals with a monthly income below R$7,000. In October 2010, it completed the conversion of branches under the Unibanco brand to the Itau brand and as of December 31, 2010, it had over 15.2 million customers and 4,660 branches and CSBs. Its public sector business operates in all areas of the public sector, including the federal, state and municipal governments (in the executive, legislative and judicial branches). As of December 31, 2010, it had approximately 2,300 public sector customers. Itau Personnalite�� focus is delivering financial advisory services by its managers, who understand the specific needs of its higher-income customers; a portfolio of exclusive products and services; special benefits based on the type and length of relationship with the customer, including discounts on various products and services. Itau Personnalite�� customer base reached more than 600,000 individuals as of December 31, 2010. Itau Personnalite customers also have access to Itau Unibanco! ne! twor! k of ! branches and ATMs throughout the country, as well as Internet banking and phone.

Itau Private Bank is a Brazilian bank in the global private banking industry, providing wealth management services to approximately 17,951 Latin American clients as of December 31, 2010. The Company serves its customers��needs for offshore wealth management solutions in major jurisdictions through independent institutions in the United States through Banco Itau Europa International and Itau Europa Securities , in Luxembourg through Banco Itau Europa Luxembourg S.A. , in Switzerland through Banco Itau Suisse , in the Bahamas through BIE Bank & Trust Bahamas and in Cayman through Unicorp Bank & Trust Cayman. As of December 31, 2010, it had over 565 very small business banking offices located throughout Brazil and approximately 2,500 managers working for over 1,235,000 small business customers. Loans to very small businesses totaled R$5,981 million as of December 31, 2010. As of Dece mber 31, 2010, it had 374 small business banking offices located nationwide in Brazil and nearly 2,500 managers who worked for over 525,000 companies. Loans to small businesses totaled R$28,744 million as of December 31, 2010.

As of December 31, 2010, it had approximately 115,000 middle-market corporate customers that represented a range of Brazilian companies located in over 83 cities in Brazil. The Company offers a range of financial products and services to middle-market customers, including deposit accounts, investment options, insurance, private retirement plans and credit products. Credit products include investment capital loans, working capital loans, inventory financing, trade financing, foreign currency services, equipment leasing services, letters of credit and guarantees. The Company also carries out financial transactions on behalf of middle-market customers, including interbank transactions, open market transactions and futures, swaps, hedging and arbitrage transactions. It also offers its middle-ma! rket cus!! tomers co! llection services and electronic payment services. The Company is able to provide these services for virtually any kind of payment, including Internet office banking. It charges collection fees and fees for making payments, such as payroll, on behalf of its customers.

The Company is engaged in the Brazilian credit card market. Its subsidiaries, Banco Itaucard S.A. (Banco Itaucard) and Hipercard Banco Multiplo S.A. (Hipercard), offers a range of products to 26 million customers as of December 31, 2010, including both accountholders and non-accountholders. As of December 31, 2010, it had approximately R$16,271 million in outstanding real estate loans. As of December 31, 2010, it had total net assets under management of R$291,748 million on behalf of approximately 2.1 million customers. The Company also provides portfolio management services for pension funds, corporations, private bank customers and foreign investors. As of December 31, 2010, it had R$184,496 mill ion of assets under management for pension funds, corporations and private bank customers. As of December 31, 2010, the Company offered and managed about 1,791 mutual funds, which are mostly fixed-income and money market funds. For individual customers, it offered 154 funds to its retail customers and approximately 287 funds to its Itau Personnalite customers. Private banking customers may invest in over 600 funds, including those offered by other institutions. Itau BBA�� capital markets group also provides tailor-made mutual funds to institutional, corporate and private banking customers.

The Company provides securities services in the Brazilian capital markets. Its services also include acting as transfer agent, providing services relating to debentures and promissory notes, custody and control services for mutual funds, pension funds and portfolios, providing trustee services and non-resident investor services, and acting as custodian for depositary receipt programs. The Company also provides brokerage ! services ! to i! nternatio! nal customers through its broker-dealer operations in New York, through its London branch, and through its broker-dealers in Hong Kong and Dubai. Its main lines of insurance are life and casualty (excluding Vida Gerador de Benefucio Livre), extended warranties and property. Its policies are sold through its banking operations, independent local brokers, multinational brokers and other channels. As of December 31, 2010, it had 9.9 million in capitalization products outstanding, representing R$2,620 million in liabilities with assets that function as guarantees of R$2,646 million. The Company distributes these products through its retail network, Itau Personnalite and Itau Uniclass branches, electronic channels and ATMs. These products are sold by its subsidiary, Cia. Itau de Capitalizacao S.A.

Itau BBA

Itau BBA is responsible for its corporate and investment banking activities. As of December 31, 2010, Itau BBA offered a portfolio of products and ser vices to approximately 2,400 companies and conglomerates in Brazil. Itau BBA�� activities range from typical operations of a commercial bank to capital markets operations and advisory services for mergers and acquisitions. As of December 31, 2010, its corporate loan portfolio was R$ 76,584 million. In investment banking, the fixed income department was responsible for the issuance of debentures and promissory notes that totaled R$18,888 million and securitization transactions that amounted to R$4,677 million in Brazil in 2010. In addition, Itau BBA advised 35 merger and acquisition transactions with an aggregate deal volume of R$16,973 million in 2010.

Itau BBA is also active in Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Economico e Social (BNDES) on-lending to finance large-scale projects, aiming at strengthening domestic infrastructure. In consolidated terms, total loans granted by Itau BBA under BNDES on-lending represented more than R$9,010 million in 2010. Itau BB A focuses on the products and initiatives! in the i! nternation! al busine! ss unit, such as structuring long-term, bilateral and syndicated financing, and spot foreign exchange. In addition, in 2010 Itau BBA continued to offer a large number of lines of credit for foreign trade.

Consumer Credit

As of December 31, 2010, its portfolio of vehicle financing, leasing and consortium lending consisted of approximately 3.8 million contracts, of which approximately 71.1% were non-accountholder customers. The personal loan portfolio relating to vehicle financing and leasing reached R$60,254 million in 2010. The Company leased and financed vehicles through 13,706 dealers as of December 31, 2010. Sales are made through computer terminals installed in the dealerships that are connected to its computer network. Redecard S.A. (Redecard) is a multibrand credit card provider in Brazil, also responsible for the capturing, transmission, processing and settlement of credit, debit and benefit card transactions. As of December 31, 2010, the Com pany held approximately 50% interest in Redecard�� capital stock.

The Company competes with Bradesco, Banco do Brasil S.A. (Banco do Brasil), Banco Santander, Caixa Economica Federal (CEF), BNDES, HSBC, Banco Citibank S.A, Banco de Investimentos Credit Suisse (Brasil) S.A., Banco JP Morgan S.A., Banco Morgan Stanley S.A., Banco Merrill Lynch de Investimentos S.A., Banco BTG Pactual S.A., Banco Panamericano S.A, Citibank S.A., Banco GE Capital S.A. and Banco Ibi S.A.

Top 10 Cheap Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Grupo TMM S.A.(TMM)

Grupo TMM, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated logistics and transportation company in Mexico. The company offers maritime transportation services, including offshore vessels, which offer transportation and other services to the Mexican offshore oil industry; tankers that transport petroleum products in Mexican waters; parcel tankers, which transport liquid chemical and vegetable oil cargos from and to the United States and Mexico; and tugboats that provide towing services at the port of Manzanillo, Mexico. It operates a fleet of 46 vessels, which comprise product and chemical tankers, harbor tugs, and various offshore supply vessels. The company also operates two Mexican port facilities, Tuxpan and Acapulco, as well as provides port agent services to vessel owners and operators in the Mexican ports. Its logistics business provides trucking services to manufacturers consisting of automobile plants, and retailers, as well as offers logistical f acilities in industrial cities and railroad hubs in Aguascalientes, Toluca, Puebla, Veracruz, Nuevo Laredo, Cuernavaca, Mexico City, Monterrey, Manzanillo, Ensenada, and Altamira. The company's logistics services include consulting, analytical, and logistics outsourcing; logistics network analysis; logistics information process design; trucking, intermodal transport, and auto haulage services; warehousing and bonded warehousing facility management; supply chain and logistics management; product handling and repackaging; local pre-assembly; maintaining and repairing containers; and inbound and outbound distribution using truck transport. Grupo TMM was founded in 1955 and in headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

Top 10 Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Ion Geophysical Corporation (IO)

ION Geophysical Corporation provides planning and seismic processing services, software, and acquisition equipment to the energy industry worldwide. Its Solutions segment provides seismic data processing services for marine and land environments, reservoir solutions, onboard processing and quality control, and seismic data libraries, as well as services to manage the seismic process that comprise survey planning and design, data acquisition and management, pre-processing, and final subsurface imaging. The company�s Systems segment offers DigiSTREAMER system, a towed streamer; redeployable ocean bottom cable seismic data acquisition systems; shipboard recorders; DigiCOURSE, a marine streamer positioning system; DigiFIN streamer control systems; source and source control systems, such as air guns; and analog geophone sensors. Its Software segment provides software systems and services comprising Orca, a command and control software for towed streamer acquisition; Gator, an integrated navigation and data management software system for multi-vessel ocean bottom cable and transition zone operations; and post-survey tools, including Reflex software for seismic coverage and attribute analysis, as well as Optimiser, a technology planning tool. This segment also offers consulting services for planning, designing, and supervising surveys, including 4D and WATS survey operations. ION Geophysical Corporation also offers cable-based, cable less, and radio-controlled seismic data acquisition systems; digital sensors; vibroseis vehicles, such as vibrator trucks; and source controllers for detonator and energy sources. The company was formerly known as Input/Output, Inc. ION Geophysical Corporation was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Roberto Pedone]

    ION Geophysical (IO) is a technology-focused seismic solutions company that provides advanced seismic data acquisition equipment, seismic software and seismic planning, processing and interpretation services to the global energy industry. This stock closed up 1.7% to $5.35 in Tuesday's trading session.

    Tuesday's Range: $5.22-$5.38

    52-Week Range: $4.59-$7.70

    Thursday's Volume: 1.14 million

    Three-Month Average Volume: 1.12 million

    From a technical perspective, IO rose modestly higher here right of some near-term support at $5.20 with above-average volume. This stock recently gapped up sharply from around $4.80 to $5.52 with strong upside volume. Following that move, shares of IO pulled back to $5.20 and the stock has now started to trend into its 50-day moving average of $5.36. That move is quickly pushing shares of IO within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if IO manages to take out some near-term overhead resistance levels at Tuesday's high of $5.38 to more resistance at $5.52 with high volume.

    Traders should now look for long-biased trades in IO as long as it's trending above $5.20 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 1.12 million shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then IO will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $6 to its 200-day moving average at $6.20. Any high-volume move above $6.20 will then put $6.50 to $6.70 into range for shares of IO.

Top 10 Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Sun Life Financial Inc.(SLF)

Sun Life Financial Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various life and health insurance, savings, investment management, retirement, and pension products and services to individuals and corporate customers. It offers individual life insurance policies, including individual term life, universal life, critical illness, disability, accident, and accidental death and dismemberment insurance policies; and group life insurance policies. The company also provides individual health insurance, long-term care insurance, group health benefits, dental benefits, and group insurance; and various individual and group annuity, retirement, and investment income products and services, such as mutual and pooled funds, variable and fixed annuities, savings, retirement and pension plans, and education savings. In addition, it offers asset management services for corporate retirement plans, separate accounts, public or government funds, and insurance company assets to institutional clients; and advisory services to individual investors. Further, the company provides run-off reinsurance services. Sun Life Financial Inc. distributes its products through direct sales agents, independent and managing general agents, financial intermediaries, broker-dealers, banks, pension and benefit consultants, and other third-party marketing organizations. The company operates primarily in Bermuda, Canada, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Ireland, the Philippines, the United States, and the United Kingdom. Sun Life Financial Inc. was founded in 1999 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Sun Life Financial (NYSE: SLF) shares gained 2.47% to create a new 52-week high of $34.80 on Q3 results. Sun Life reported its Q3 operating net income from continuing operations of $422 million.

Top 10 Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Jack In The Box Inc.(JACK)

Jack in the Box Inc. operates and franchises Jack in the Box quick-service restaurants and Qdoba Mexican Grill fast-casual restaurants. As of February 22, 2012, it operated and franchised 2,200 Jack in the Box restaurants in 20 states in the United States; and 600 Qdoba Mexican Grill restaurants in 42 states and the District of Columbia. The company was founded in 1951 and is based in San Diego, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    Chipotle has gained 2.1% to $427.90, the second best performer in the S&P 500, while Panera has dropped 2.8% to $159.47, and underperforming�Jack in the Box (JACK), which has dipped 0.3% to $39.98, Krispy Kreme (KKD), which has fallen 2% to $19.43, and Starbucks (SBUX), which is off 0.5% at $76.98.

  • [By Seth Jayson]

    Calling all cash flows
    When you are trying to buy the market's best stocks, it's worth checking up on your companies' free cash flow once a quarter or so, to see whether it bears any relationship to the net income in the headlines. That's what we do with this series. Today, we're checking in on Jack in the Box (Nasdaq: JACK  ) , whose recent revenue and earnings are plotted below.

Top 10 Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Argent Mining Corp (AMG.V)

AM Gold Inc., an exploration stage company, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties. It explores primarily for gold and copper ores. The company holds a 100% interest in the Pinaya gold-copper project comprising 35 mineral concessions covering approximately 19,200 hectares located in the southeast of the city of Lima, Peru; and an 80% interest in the Red Mountain gold project consisting of 52 mineral property claims covering approximately 3,600 hectares located in the central Yukon Territory, Canada. It also holds a 100% interest in 2 grassroots gold projects, the La Mamita property, which consists of a single concession and covering an area of approximately 1,000 hectares; and Minas Lucho property that comprises 4 mineral concessions covering an area of approximately 2,400 hectares, both located in Peru. The company was formerly known as Acero-Martin Exploration Inc. and changed its name to AM Gold Inc. in June 2010. AM Gold Inc. is based in Vanco uver, Canada.

Top 10 Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Messina Minerals Inc. (MMI.V)

Messina Minerals Inc. engages in the acquisition and exploration of mineral properties primarily in Canada. The company explores primarily for zinc, lead, copper, silver, and gold deposits. It principally holds 100% interests in the Tulks South property consisting of 713 mineral claims covering 17,835 hectares located in central Newfoundland; and the Long Lake property comprising 351 mineral claims covering 8,784 hectares located in Newfoundland. The company was formerly known as Mishibishu Gold Corporation and changed its name to Messina Minerals Inc. in January 2003. Messina Minerals Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Top 10 Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Cranswick(CWK.L)

Cranswick plc engages in the manufacture and supply of food products to grocery retailers, food producers, and food service sector in the United Kingdom and internationally. It offers fresh products, including fresh pork, gourmet sausages, charcuterie, cooked meats, sandwiches, traditional dry cured bacon, and continental fine foods under the Jamie Oliver, Weight Watchers, Richard Woodall, Simply Sausages, Red Lion Foods, The Black Farmer, and Reggae Reggae. The company is based in Hull, the United Kingdom.

Top 10 Stocks To Invest In Right Now: (XTRN)

Las Vegas Railway Express Inc. focuses to re-establish a conventional passenger train service between the Las Vegas and Los Angeles metropolitan areas. It plans to establish a ?Vegas-style? passenger train service. The company is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.